Tennis · M15 Champaign · 25/08, 23:00

Prediction: Jeremy Zhang vs Ofek Shimanov

Team pages: Jeremy Zhang · Ofek Shimanov

Prediction summary
Winner
48% 52%
Jeremy Zhang Ofek Shimanov
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Jeremy Zhang 7-3 (W-L)
LWWWLWWWWL
Ofek Shimanov 4-6 (W-L)
LLWLLWWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jeremy Zhang 1520 · Ofek Shimanov 1539
Jeremy ZhangOfek Shimanov
Our model47%53%
Market49%51%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Jeremy ZhangOfek Shimanov
Win %50%60%
Win % · Hard 50% (4) 60% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.11.4-1
Games (G-P)9.7-10.112.5-11.2
Aces1.62
Double faults3.32.5
1st serve %63.4%67.3%
Break %53.5%47.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jeremy Zhang

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/07 Jake Delaney
M15 Brisbane
0-2 2-12 L
29/07 Hayden Jones
M15 Brisbane
2-0 9-3 W
23/07 Taiki Takizawa
M15 Brisbane
1-2 12-13 L
22/07 Tai Leonard Sach
M15 Brisbane
2-1 12-10 W
21/07 Kazuma Kawachi
M15 Brisbane
2-0 12-4 W
15/07 Matthew Dellavedova
M25 Brisbane
0-2 6-12 L
12/11 Aidan Mchugh
Challenger Champaign · Hard
1-2 15-19 L
10/11 Quinn Vandecasteele
Challenger Champaign · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
09/11 Enzo Wallart
Challenger Champaign · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
06/11 Erik Arutiunian
ITF M25 East Lansing · Hard
0-2 4-12 L

Ofek Shimanov

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/08 Dan Brand
M15 Astana
1-2 14-17 L
04/08 Riku Takahata
M15 Astana
2-0 14-11 W
29/07 Danial Rakhmatullayev
M15 Astana
1-2 12-15 L
28/07 Min Ho Ko
M15 Astana
2-0 12-5 W
27/07 Islam Orynbasar
M15 Astana
2-0 12-5 W
17/07 Jordan Hasson
M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
16/07 Devin Badenhorst
M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-1 17-13 W
15/07 Jeffrey Strydom
M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
12/07 Khololwam Montsi
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
11/07 Charlie Robertson
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-1 18-16 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jeremy Zhang vs Ofek Shimanov?

Our model gives 52% to Ofek Shimanov, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.