Tennis · M15 Champaign · 25/08, 20:00
Prediction: Ryan Colby vs Nikola Djosic
Team pages: Ryan Colby · Nikola Djosic
Prediction summary
Winner
Ryan Colby
Nikola Djosic
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Ryan Colby
7-3 (W-L)
Nikola Djosic
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ryan Colby 1509 · Nikola Djosic 1442
| Ryan Colby | Nikola Djosic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ryan Colby (rating 1509 vs 1442).
- Note: Ryan Colby makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Ryan Colby | Nikola Djosic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 0.6-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-12 | 8.7-10.9 |
| Aces | 2 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 5 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 66% | 57.7% |
| Break % | 52.7% | 28.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ryan Colby
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 02/08 | Dhakshineswar Suresh Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 15/07 | Alexander Frusina M25 Louisville |
0-1 | 3-7 | L |
| 07/07 | Yuta Shimizu M25 Laval |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/06 | Duncan Chan M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Pavle Marinkov M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 01/06 | Christian Langmo Challenger Tyler · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 17/05 | Nick Hardt M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 16/05 | Adhithya Ganesan M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/05 | Lucca Liu M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Nikola Djosic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Sebastian Grundtvig Jorgensen M25 Gentofte |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/07 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Pierre Delage M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Simeon Stankovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 30/05 | Matyas Fuele M15 Brcko · ~Clay |
0-1 | 1-6 | L |
| 29/05 | Valentin Gonzalez-Galino M15 Brcko · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/05 | Attila Dominik Boros M15 Brcko · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 27/05 | Eric Vanshelboim M15 Brcko · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 20/05 | Edoardo Zanada M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/05 | Max Wiskandt M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ryan Colby vs Nikola Djosic?
Our model gives 69% to Ryan Colby, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.