Tennis · M15 Champaign · 25/08, 18:30

Prediction: Joshua Peck vs Ilija Palavestra

Team pages: Joshua Peck · Ilija Palavestra

Prediction summary
Winner
47% 53%
Joshua Peck Ilija Palavestra
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Joshua Peck 4-6 (W-L)
WLLLWLLWWL
Ilija Palavestra 6-4 (W-L)
WWLWLWLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Joshua Peck 1495 · Ilija Palavestra 1522
Joshua PeckIlija Palavestra
Our model46%54%
Market49%51%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Joshua PeckIlija Palavestra
Win %40%60%
Win % · Hard 50% (4) 0% (1)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.21.2-0.9
Games (G-P)8.8-10.210.2-8.7
Aces3.53.1
Double faults3.51.9
1st serve %70.8%70.4%
Break %38.3%33.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Joshua Peck

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/08 Axel Nefve
M25 East Lansing
0-2 4-12 L
12/08 Evan Bynoe
M25 East Lansing
2-0 12-7 W
11/08 Jerry Roddick
M25 East Lansing
2-0 12-7 W
04/08 Evan Zhu
M25 Southaven
0-2 8-12 L
30/07 Matthew Thomson
M15 Huamantla · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
29/07 Matteo Covato
M15 Huamantla · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
15/07 William Jansen
M25 Louisville
0-2 7-12 L
08/07 Cole Thurgur
M25 Laval
1-2 11-15 L
25/06 Jack Satterfield
M15 Claremont · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
24/06 Rishvanth Krishna
M15 Claremont · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W

Ilija Palavestra

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/07 Vignesh Gogineni
M25 Edwardsville
0-2 5-12 L
29/07 Leo Vithoontien
M25 Edwardsville
2-1 15-18 W
29/07 Malhar Patel
M25 Edwardsville
2-0 12-5 W
17/07 Alexander Bernard
M15 Rochester
0-2 9-13 L
15/07 Drew Van Orderlain
M15 Rochester
2-0 12-5 W
09/06 Zsombor Velcz
M25 Wichita · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
07/04 Kaipo Marshall
M15 Boca Raton
2-0 12-5 W
12/03 Daniel De Jonge
M15 Montreal
0-2 7-11 L
11/03 Adam Faragcao
M15 Montreal
2-0 12-4 W
10/03 Numa Lemieux-Monette
M15 Montreal
2-0 12-2 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Joshua Peck vs Ilija Palavestra?

Our model gives 53% to Ilija Palavestra, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.