Tennis · M15 Champaign · 26/08, 17:00
Prediction: Colson Wells vs Felix Corwin
Team pages: Colson Wells · Felix Corwin
Prediction summary
Winner
Colson Wells
Felix Corwin
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Colson Wells
5-5 (W-L)
Felix Corwin
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Colson Wells 1569 · Felix Corwin 1523
| Colson Wells | Felix Corwin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Colson Wells (rating 1569 vs 1523).
- Note: Felix Corwin makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Colson Wells | Felix Corwin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-10.2 | 10.9-10.2 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 68.5% | 72.9% |
| Break % | 54.3% | 41% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Colson Wells
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Max Sheldon UTR Pro East Lansing · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 22/08 | Lincoln Battle UTR Pro East Lansing · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 21/08 | Nischal Spurling UTR Pro East Lansing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/08 | Thomas Nelson UTR Pro East Lansing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/08 | Alfred Almasi UTR Pro East Lansing · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 17/08 | Evan Burnett UTR Pro East Lansing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/08 | Jelani Sarr M25 East Lansing |
1-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Jelani Sarr M25 Champaign |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Alberto Altur Fernandez UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Andrew Kotzen UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Felix Corwin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Oscar Corwin UTR Pro East Lansing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/08 | Noah Folkesson Doudy UTR Pro East Lansing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Alexander Frusina M25 Southaven |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 24/04 | Cannon Kingsley M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 23/04 | Andreja Petrovic M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/04 | Safir Azam M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/04 | Andreja Petrovic M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/04 | Ronit Karki Challenger Sarasota · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 23/03 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Bucaramanga · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/03 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Morelos · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Colson Wells vs Felix Corwin?
Our model gives 60% to Felix Corwin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.