Tennis · M15 Champaign · 25/08, 17:00
Prediction: Preston Stearns vs Jon Gamble
Team pages: Jon Gamble
Prediction summary
Winner
Preston Stearns
Jon Gamble
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Preston Stearns
9-1 (W-L)
Jon Gamble
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Preston Stearns 1589 · Jon Gamble 1431
| Preston Stearns | Jon Gamble | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 29% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Preston Stearns (rating 1589 vs 1431).
- Preston Stearns dominates on serve: 7.1 aces and 51.6% break avg.
- Preston Stearns is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Preston Stearns makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Preston Stearns | Jon Gamble | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.7 | 0.4-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.3-10.2 | 7.2-11 |
| Aces | 7.1 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 77.6% | 64.4% |
| Break % | 51.6% | 19.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Preston Stearns
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Simon Caldwell UTR Pro Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/08 | Gregory Bernadsky UTR Pro Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/07 | Henry Lessard UTR Pro Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 29/07 | Adrian Treacy UTR Pro Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/11 | Jack Anthrop ITF M25 Columbus · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 13/11 | Marko Mesarovic ITF M25 Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/11 | Nathan Ponwith ITF M25 Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/09 | Daniel Masur Challenger Columbus · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 15/09 | Kaylan Bigun Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 14/09 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
Jon Gamble
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Leo Vithoontien M25 Southaven |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 04/08 | Alejandro Moreno M25 Southaven |
2-0 | 9-4 | W |
| 29/07 | Jerry Roddick M25 Edwardsville |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Maximus Dussault M25 Louisville |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Alexander Frusina M25 Louisville |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Agustin Mastri UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Corey Craig UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Nicholas Mekhael UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 20/06 | Sklar Phillips UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Junior T Pichardo UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Preston Stearns vs Jon Gamble?
Our model gives 76% to Preston Stearns, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.