Tennis · M25 Oldenzaal · 25/08, 11:30
Prediction: Kylian Collignon vs Sebastian Heinrich
Team pages: Kylian Collignon
Prediction summary
Winner
Kylian Collignon
Sebastian Heinrich
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Kylian Collignon
3-7 (W-L)
Sebastian Heinrich
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kylian Collignon 1446 · Sebastian Heinrich 1522
| Kylian Collignon | Sebastian Heinrich | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sebastian Heinrich (rating 1446 vs 1522).
- Sebastian Heinrich is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Kylian Collignon | Sebastian Heinrich | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (5) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.4 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.3-11.4 | 10.9-10.7 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 63.5% | 54.4% |
| Break % | 41.3% | 51.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kylian Collignon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Marc Majdandzic M15 Lambermont |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 19/08 | Mac Visser M15 Lambermont |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/08 | Benoit Torcq M25 Koksijde |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/01 | Saveliy Ivanov M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/12 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/11 | Toby Samuel M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 0-11 | L |
| 04/11 | Freddie Ridout M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/10 | Anton Arzhankin M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 28/08 | Buvaysar Gadamauri M25 Oldenzaal |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Jarno Jans M25 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Sebastian Heinrich
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Julian Forer M15 Frankfurt |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 03/08 | Justin Ilic M15 Frankfurt |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/07 | Maximilian Todorov M25 Gentofte |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Vincent Jonah Strauch M25 Gentofte |
2-1 | 11-12 | W |
| 15/07 | Richard Antoni M15 Uslar |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Carlos Giraldi M15 Uslar |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/01 | Nicolas Hurtado Novoa M25 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-11 | L |
| 05/01 | Nikita Nikolenko M25 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/09 | Jan Wygona ITF M25 Pardubice · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 23/09 | Jiri Jindacek ITF M25 Pardubice · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kylian Collignon vs Sebastian Heinrich?
Our model gives 54% to Sebastian Heinrich, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.