Tennis · M25 Oldenzaal · 25/08, 10:00

Prediction: Richard Antoni vs Amadatus Admiraal

Team pages: Richard Antoni

Prediction summary
Winner
45% 55%
Richard Antoni Amadatus Admiraal
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Richard Antoni 3-7 (W-L)
WLLWWLLLLL
Amadatus Admiraal 6-4 (W-L)
LWLLWWWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Richard Antoni 1431 · Amadatus Admiraal 1531
Richard AntoniAmadatus Admiraal
Our model36%64%
Market51%49%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Amadatus Admiraal (rating 1431 vs 1531).
  • Amadatus Admiraal is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Richard Antoni makes many double faults (6/match).

Statistics

Richard AntoniAmadatus Admiraal
Win %20%70%
Win % · Clay 20% (5) 50% (4)
Sets (G-P)0.5-1.51.5-0.8
Games (G-P)6.8-10.412.2-9.2
Aces1.9
Double faults6
1st serve %65.4%
Break %30.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Richard Antoni

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/08 Daniele Minighini
M15 Krakow
0-2 3-12 L
09/08 Saba Purtseladze
Challenger Hamburg · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
28/07 David Fix
M25 Wetzlar
0-1 2-6 L
21/07 Pieter De Lange
M25 Metzingen
0-2 6-12 L
16/07 Ruben Hartig
M15 Uslar
0-2 5-12 L
15/07 Sebastian Heinrich
M15 Uslar
2-0 12-5 W
17/06 Felix Einig
M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay
1-2 13-16 L
10/06 Heorhii Shylov
M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
04/06 Vincent Marysko
M15 Rosbach · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
03/06 Matteo Covato
M15 Rosbach · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W

Amadatus Admiraal

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/08 Mehdi Benchakroun
UTR Pro Match Series · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
15/08 Riccardo Campagnola
UTR Pro Match Series · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
14/08 Lautaro Agustin Corthey
UTR Pro Match Series · Hard
2-0 14-12 W
13/08 Valentino De Pellegrin
UTR Pro Match Series · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
11/08 Ronetto Van Tilburg
UTR Pro Match Series · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
10/08 Platon Tsarenko
UTR Pro Match Series · Hard
2-1 16-10 W
23/05 Sep De Visser
UTR Pro Ahaus · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
21/05 Alexander Skripaev
UTR Pro Ahaus · Clay
1-2 15-15 L
20/05 Timo De Visser
UTR Pro Ahaus · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
19/05 Claus Piening
UTR Pro Ahaus · Clay
2-1 13-11 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Richard Antoni vs Amadatus Admiraal?

Our model gives 55% to Amadatus Admiraal, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.