Tennis · Challenger Kingston · 25/08, 20:00
Prediction: Aidan Mayo vs Matthew Forbes
Team pages: Aidan Mayo · Matthew Forbes
Prediction summary
Winner
Aidan Mayo
Matthew Forbes
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Aidan Mayo
6-4 (W-L)
Matthew Forbes
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Aidan Mayo
1–0
Matthew Forbes
(1 last)
- 22 Oct2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aidan Mayo 1503 · Matthew Forbes 1485
| Aidan Mayo | Matthew Forbes | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Aidan Mayo 1–0 Matthew Forbes (1).
- Note: Aidan Mayo makes many double faults (4.3/match).
- Note: Matthew Forbes makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Aidan Mayo | Matthew Forbes | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-11.7 | 11.6-12 |
| Aces | 5.9 | 5 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 77.2% | 67% |
| Break % | 37.7% | 63% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
H2H · Aidan Mayo 1 – 0 Matthew Forbes (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aidan Mayo 1–0 Matthew Forbes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10/24 Challenger Sioux Falls | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aidan Mayo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Keshav Chopra Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 23/08 | Joao Goncalves Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/08 | Timo Legout Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 10/08 | Tristan Boyer Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/08 | Ryan Dickerson Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Rei Sakamoto Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 03/08 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/08 | Christian Langmo Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 29/07 | James Duckworth ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Matthew Forbes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Tristan Boyer Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Jie Cui Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 14/07 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 12/07 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Trevor Svajda M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Evan Bynoe M25 Dallas |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Jie Cui M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/02 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Baton Rouge · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aidan Mayo vs Matthew Forbes?
Our model gives 60% to Aidan Mayo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.