Tennis · M15 Monastir · 26/08, 10:30
Prediction: Mahmoud Chetouane vs Etienne Donnet
Prediction summary
Winner
Mahmoud Chetouane
Etienne Donnet
Estimated games
19.3
Recent form · 10 last
Mahmoud Chetouane
2-8 (W-L)
Etienne Donnet
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mahmoud Chetouane 1417 · Etienne Donnet 1465
| Mahmoud Chetouane | Etienne Donnet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 8% | 92% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Etienne Donnet (rating 1417 vs 1465).
Statistics
| Mahmoud Chetouane | Etienne Donnet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 22% (9) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-1.6 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 5.5-11.2 | 10.1-10.3 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 53.8% | 70.4% |
| Break % | 30.4% | 35.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mahmoud Chetouane
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/06 | Nicolas Tepmahc M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 10/05 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Tunis · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 06/01 | Mustapha El Natour M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/12 | Ergi Kirkin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/11 | Theo Herrmann M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/11 | Louis Allen M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/11 | Amir Omarkhanov M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Dmitrii Vasilev M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/10 | Abel Forger M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Benjamin Pietri M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Etienne Donnet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/03 | Leonardo Rossi M15 Poitiers · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/02 | Tom Sickenberger M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/11 | Robert Strombachs M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Lui Maxted M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 18/10 | Mathys Erhard M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 17/10 | Luca Wiedenmann M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/10 | Daniil Ostapenkov M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/10 | Mert Aytekin M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/10 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Alejandro Manzanera Pertusa Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mahmoud Chetouane vs Etienne Donnet?
Our model gives 76% to Etienne Donnet, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.