Tennis · Challenger Kingston · 25/08, 20:00
Prediction: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Mitchell Krueger
Team pages: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez · Mitchell Krueger
Prediction summary
Winner
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Mitchell Krueger
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
5-5 (W-L)
Mitchell Krueger
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mario Gonzalez Fernandez 1520 · Mitchell Krueger 1484
| Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | Mitchell Krueger | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | Mitchell Krueger | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-11.3 | 11-11 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 68% | 71.1% |
| Break % | 36.2% | 37% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Matt Kuhar Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/08 | Calum Puttergill Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/08 | Roger Pascual Ferra Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Aryan Shah M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 05/08 | Ander Tarrio Ponte M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Keegan Smith Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 13/07 | Dominik Palan Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/07 | S D Prajwal Dev Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Tiago Torres M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
Mitchell Krueger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Alex Martinez Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Gavin Young M25 Dallas |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 09/07 | Oliver Okonkwo M25 Dallas |
1-1 | 7-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Aleksandar Mitric M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/06 | Dhakshineswar Suresh Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Henry Searle Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Jay Friend Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Cervia · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 11/05 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 10/05 | Viktor Durasovic Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Mitchell Krueger?
Our model gives 57% to Mitchell Krueger, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.