Tennis · Challenger Kingston · 25/08, 17:00
Prediction: Karl Poling vs Thomas Fancutt
Team pages: Karl Poling · Thomas Fancutt
Prediction summary
Winner
Karl Poling
Thomas Fancutt
Estimated games
24.1
Recent form · 10 last
Karl Poling
6-4 (W-L)
Thomas Fancutt
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Karl Poling
1–0
Thomas Fancutt
(1 last)
- 13 Aug2-1 16-13W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Karl Poling 1509 · Thomas Fancutt 1543
| Karl Poling | Thomas Fancutt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Karl Poling 1–0 Thomas Fancutt (1).
Statistics
| Karl Poling | Thomas Fancutt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (5) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 1.5-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-13.3 | 13.2-11.6 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 66.9% | 72.7% |
| Break % | 30.7% | 56.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.1
H2H · Karl Poling 1 – 0 Thomas Fancutt (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Karl Poling 1–0 Thomas Fancutt
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08/26 M25 East Lansing | 2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Karl Poling
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 16/08 | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes M25 East Lansing |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 15/08 | Nikita Filin M25 East Lansing |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 14/08 | Axel Nefve M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/08 | Thomas Fancutt M25 East Lansing |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 12/08 | Jesse Flores M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/08 | Aidan Kim Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Tyler Zink Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 28/07 | Kokoro Isomura Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
Thomas Fancutt
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Bruno Kuzuhara Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/08 | Enmanuel Munoz Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/08 | Karl Poling M25 East Lansing |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 11/08 | Lincoln Battle M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Jie Cui Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 12/07 | Kaylan Bigun Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 23/06 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 22/06 | Dimitar Kisimov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Karl Poling vs Thomas Fancutt?
Our model gives 52% to Karl Poling, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.