Tennis · M15 Hurghada · 25/08, 08:00
Prediction: Andrea Bacaloni vs Makar Krivoshchekov
Team pages: Andrea Bacaloni · Makar Krivoshchekov
Prediction summary
Winner
Andrea Bacaloni
Makar Krivoshchekov
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Andrea Bacaloni
3-7 (W-L)
Makar Krivoshchekov
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrea Bacaloni 1502 · Makar Krivoshchekov 1412
| Andrea Bacaloni | Makar Krivoshchekov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andrea Bacaloni (rating 1502 vs 1412).
- Andrea Bacaloni is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Makar Krivoshchekov makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Andrea Bacaloni | Makar Krivoshchekov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 0.6-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-10 | 9.2-11.1 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 62.1% | 65.6% |
| Break % | 48% | 58.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrea Bacaloni
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Kevin Edengren M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Oskari Paldanius M15 Turku |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Jeri Lassila M15 Turku |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/08 | Felix Alopaeus M15 Turku |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 10/08 | Aatu Niemelae M15 Turku |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/08 | Edoardo Betti M25 Fano |
1-2 | 9-11 | L |
| 14/07 | Pietro Marino M15 Gubbio |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 13/07 | Edoardo De Filippo M15 Gubbio |
2-1 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Togan Tokac M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Cesar Bouchelaghem M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Makar Krivoshchekov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Riku Takahata M15 Astana |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Leon Peranovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-10 | L |
| 26/05 | Amaury Raynel M15 Brcko · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Ilyos Abrorov M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/04 | Karim Ibrahim M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/03 | Luke Hooper M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/03 | Nicolas Tepmahc M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/12 | Ioannis Kountourakis M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/12 | Digvijay Pratap Singh ITF M15 Gwalior |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/12 | Vivaan Bidasaria ITF M15 Gwalior |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrea Bacaloni vs Makar Krivoshchekov?
Our model gives 70% to Andrea Bacaloni, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.