Tennis · M25 Maribor · 25/08, 11:30

Prediction: Karlo Kajin vs Nazar Oliynykov

Team pages: Karlo Kajin · Nazar Oliynykov

Prediction summary
Winner
60% 40%
Karlo Kajin Nazar Oliynykov
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Karlo Kajin 2-8 (W-L)
LLLLLLLWWL
Nazar Oliynykov 3-7 (W-L)
LLLWLLWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Karlo Kajin 1440 · Nazar Oliynykov 1427
Karlo KajinNazar Oliynykov
Our model52%48%
Market66%34%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Karlo KajinNazar Oliynykov
Win %30%20%
Win % · Clay 17% (6) 25% (8)
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.60.5-1.6
Games (G-P)6.7-11.27.8-11.6
Aces1.82
Double faults22.8
1st serve %60.8%49.6%
Break %30.4%64.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Karlo Kajin

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/08 Sebastian Sorger
M25 Slovenj Gradec
0-2 1-12 L
19/08 Matteo Fondriest
M25 Slovenj Gradec
2-0 12-6 W
18/08 Martin Muller
M25 Slovenj Gradec
2-1 8-8 W
21/06 Paris Pouatcha
UTR Pro Match Series · Hard
1-2 9-15 L
17/06 Dimitar Kuzmanov
M25 Samobor · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
26/05 Nikita Mashtakov
M25 Bol · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
19/05 Andrey Chepelev
M25 Bol · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
28/03 Aljaz Jeran
M15 Opatija · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
24/03 Simeon Stankovic
M15 Opatija · ~Clay
2-1 14-10 W
15/03 Laurent Lokoli
Challenger Zadar · Clay
0-2 4-12 L

Nazar Oliynykov

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/08 Nik Mikovic
M25 Slovenj Gradec
0-2 3-12 L
23/06 Dorian Tremblay
M25 Zagreb · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
17/06 Luca Castagnola
M25 Samobor · ~Clay
1-2 17-17 L
16/06 Devon Moskowitz
M25 Samobor · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
09/06 Massimo Pizzigoni
M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
27/05 Nicolas Ifi
M15 Brcko · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
26/05 Julio Cesar Porras
M15 Brcko · ~Clay
1-0 8-7 W
19/05 Marko Retelj
M15 Litija · ~Clay
1-2 11-10 L
15/03 Mirza Basic
Challenger Zadar · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
31/01 Peter Sallay
UTR Pro Gyor · Hard
0-2 7-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Karlo Kajin vs Nazar Oliynykov?

Our model gives 60% to Karlo Kajin, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.