Tennis · M25 Lausanne · 26/08, 11:00
Prediction: Florent Lagarrigue vs Johan Nikles
Team pages: Johan Nikles
Prediction summary
Winner
Florent Lagarrigue
Johan Nikles
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Florent Lagarrigue
5-5 (W-L)
Johan Nikles
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Florent Lagarrigue 1519 · Johan Nikles 1478
| Florent Lagarrigue | Johan Nikles | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Florent Lagarrigue (rating 1519 vs 1478).
- Note: Florent Lagarrigue makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Florent Lagarrigue | Johan Nikles | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-8.5 | 9.7-11.1 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 4 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.4% | 60.8% |
| Break % | 49.4% | 46.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Florent Lagarrigue
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Loris Gander M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/08 | Jarno Ethan Peterhans M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/05 | Raphael Perot M25 Deauville · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Yannick Baluska M25 Deauville · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/04 | Aljaz Jeran M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-9 | L |
| 08/04 | Aziz Ouakaa M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/04 | Maximilian Figl M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/03 | Lenny Couturier M25 Saint Dizier · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/03 | Alexandre Reco M15 Poitiers · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/03 | David Jeanne-Grandinot M15 Poitiers · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Johan Nikles
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Henry Bernet Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Alex Barrena Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 27/07 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Amit Vales Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/07 | Yannik Kelm M25 Metzingen |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Niels Ratiu M25 Metzingen |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 21/07 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M25 Metzingen |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 03/07 | Walid Ahouda M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Florent Lagarrigue vs Johan Nikles?
Our model gives 62% to Johan Nikles, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.