Tennis · M25 Lausanne · 25/08, 14:00

Prediction: Leonardo Taddia vs Blu Baker

Team pages: Blu Baker

Prediction summary
Winner
19% 81%
Leonardo Taddia Blu Baker
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Leonardo Taddia 2-8 (W-L)
WLLLLLLLLW
Blu Baker 8-2 (W-L)
WLWWWWWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Leonardo Taddia 1413 · Blu Baker 1583
Leonardo TaddiaBlu Baker
Our model27%73%
Market12%88%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Blu Baker (rating 1413 vs 1583).
  • Blu Baker is in better form: 80% recent wins.

Statistics

Leonardo TaddiaBlu Baker
Win %20%80%
Win % · Clay 14% (7) 50% (2)
Sets (G-P)0.4-1.71.7-0.8
Games (G-P)6.5-11.312.4-7.8
Aces0.71.3
Double faults2.43.3
1st serve %51.1%67.3%
Break %38.1%46.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Leonardo Taddia

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/08 Arthur Vildeuil
M25 Lausanne
2-0 13-9 W
26/07 Gioele Cerelli
M25 Bolzano · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
13/07 Lambert Ruland
M25 Kramsach
0-2 2-8 L
26/05 Alessandro Coccioli
M25 Grado · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
19/05 Miha Vetrih
M15 Litija · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
10/05 Filippo Mazzola
M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
04/05 Nicolas Parizzia
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
15/02 Pietro Romeo Scomparin
M25 Trento · ~Hard
0-2 8-12 L
21/01 Rodrigo Alujas
M15 Bagnoles de l'Orne · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
19/01 Alexis Berquier
M15 Bagnoles de l'Orne · ~Clay
2-1 8-10 W

Blu Baker

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/08 Andrea De Marchi
M25 Lesa
1-2 10-9 L
19/08 Luca Parenti
M25 Lesa
2-1 16-12 W
24/05 Xavier Calvelo
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-1 14-9 W
23/05 Reece Falck
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
22/05 Aaron Eliscu
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-1 W
21/05 Kaj Quirijns
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
19/05 Ford McCollum
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
18/05 Gabriel Jessup
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-1 16-10 W
23/04 Justin Roberts
M15 Orlando · ~Clay
0-2 4-8 L
22/04 Matthew Segura
M15 Orlando · ~Clay
2-1 16-12 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Leonardo Taddia vs Blu Baker?

Our model gives 81% to Blu Baker, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.