Tennis · M25 Lausanne · 25/08, 11:00
Prediction: Andrey Chepelev vs Luca Parenti
Team pages: Andrey Chepelev · Luca Parenti
Prediction summary
Winner
Andrey Chepelev
Luca Parenti
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Andrey Chepelev
6-4 (W-L)
Luca Parenti
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrey Chepelev 1524 · Luca Parenti 1480
| Andrey Chepelev | Luca Parenti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andrey Chepelev (rating 1524 vs 1480).
- Note: Luca Parenti makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Andrey Chepelev | Luca Parenti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-11.2 | 10.2-11.3 |
| Aces | 2 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 62.8% | 67.2% |
| Break % | 38.8% | 43.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrey Chepelev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Luca Staeheli Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/08 | Stefan Horia Haita M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 14/08 | Bor Artnak M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 13/08 | Aleksandar Tolev M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/08 | David Eichenseher M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Marko Maksimovic M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Filip Krolo M25 Wetzlar |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Jurij Rodionov ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Sergi Fita Juan M25 Gandia |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 15/07 | Mario Arce Fernandez M25 Gandia |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Luca Parenti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Blu Baker M25 Lesa |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 18/08 | Giulio Stella M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 28/07 | Luca Castagnola M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Gabriele Bosio M15 Segrate |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Pietro Marino M15 Segrate |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 20/07 | Nicolas Parizzia M15 Segrate |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Lorenzo Berto M25 Milano · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 15/06 | Samuele Seghetti M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/05 | Alessandro Pecci M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
| 11/05 | Niccolo Ciavarella M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrey Chepelev vs Luca Parenti?
Our model gives 69% to Andrey Chepelev, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.