Tennis · M25 Oldenzaal · 26/08, 10:00
Prediction: Jelle Sels vs Stijn Paardekooper
Team pages: Jelle Sels · Stijn Paardekooper
Prediction summary
Winner
Jelle Sels
Stijn Paardekooper
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Jelle Sels
5-5 (W-L)
Stijn Paardekooper
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jelle Sels 1505 · Stijn Paardekooper 1555
| Jelle Sels | Stijn Paardekooper | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stijn Paardekooper (rating 1505 vs 1555).
Statistics
| Jelle Sels | Stijn Paardekooper | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-11.8 | 11.9-9.1 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 3 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 65.1% | 70% |
| Break % | 45.2% | 40.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jelle Sels
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Abel Forger M25 The Hague |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 07/07 | Deney Wassermann M25 The Hague |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Kirill Kivattsev M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 30/06 | Yuichiro Inui M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/06 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/06 | Francesco Forti Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 01/06 | Lorenzo Carboni Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Edoardo Betti Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/05 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 24/05 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Stijn Paardekooper
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Jack Loge M15 Lambermont |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 20/08 | Noah Schlagenhauf M15 Lambermont |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 19/08 | Noah Thurner M15 Lambermont |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/08 | Raul Clarijs UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Aaron Hilsum UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/08 | Sam Kydd Baumgartner UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 11/08 | Riccardo Campagnola UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Tej Bhagra UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/07 | Niels Lootsma UTR Pro Dusseldorf · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 24/07 | Vaclav Schneider UTR Pro Dusseldorf · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jelle Sels vs Stijn Paardekooper?
Our model gives 53% to Stijn Paardekooper, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.