Tennis · M25 Oldenzaal · 26/08, 10:00
Prediction: Manvydas Balciunas vs Sander Jong
Team pages: Manvydas Balciunas · Sander Jong
Prediction summary
Winner
Manvydas Balciunas
Sander Jong
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Manvydas Balciunas
5-5 (W-L)
Sander Jong
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Manvydas Balciunas
0–1
Sander Jong
(1 last)
- 25 Jun0-2 10-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Manvydas Balciunas 1485 · Sander Jong 1519
| Manvydas Balciunas | Sander Jong | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Manvydas Balciunas 0–1 Sander Jong (1).
Statistics
| Manvydas Balciunas | Sander Jong | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-11.1 | 11.9-10.8 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 65.5% | 71.1% |
| Break % | 41.6% | 44.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
H2H · Manvydas Balciunas 0 – 1 Sander Jong (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Manvydas Balciunas 0–1 Sander Jong
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06/26 M15 Alkmaar | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Manvydas Balciunas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Iannis Miletich M25 Metzingen |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Abel Forger M25 The Hague |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 03/07 | Abel Forger M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 02/07 | Nino Ehrenschneider M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 01/07 | Stijn Hofman M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/06 | Sander Jong M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Aryan Lakshmanan M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Nikolai Barsukov M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Henri Haupt M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Sander Jong
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Maxime Chazal Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 10/07 | Alejandro Juan Mano M25 The Hague |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 09/07 | Eero Vasa M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Jeremy Schifris M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/06 | Jesse De Jager M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Manvydas Balciunas M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/06 | Sammy Guinau M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/06 | James McCabe ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 06/06 | Shintaro Mochizuki ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Manvydas Balciunas vs Sander Jong?
Our model gives 67% to Sander Jong, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.