Tennis · M25 Maribor · 26/08, 10:00
Prediction: Sebastian Sorger vs Jan Kupcic
Team pages: Sebastian Sorger · Jan Kupcic
Prediction summary
Winner
Sebastian Sorger
Jan Kupcic
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Sebastian Sorger
9-1 (W-L)
Jan Kupcic
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sebastian Sorger
2–1
Jan Kupcic
(3 last)
- 01 Nov0-2 6-12L
- 29 Jun2-0 14-11W
- 19 Feb2-0 12-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sebastian Sorger 1561 · Jan Kupcic 1520
| Sebastian Sorger | Jan Kupcic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sebastian Sorger (rating 1561 vs 1520).
- Sebastian Sorger is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Sebastian Sorger 2–1 Jan Kupcic (3).
Statistics
| Sebastian Sorger | Jan Kupcic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (5) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.2 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-5.1 | 10.8-10.2 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 73.4% | 66.8% |
| Break % | 55.5% | 41.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
H2H · Sebastian Sorger 2 – 1 Jan Kupcic (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sebastian Sorger 2–1 Jan Kupcic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/23 M15 Monastir | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/06/23 ITF M15 Celje | 2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/02/23 M15 Sharm El Sheikh | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sebastian Sorger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Jonas Gundacker M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/08 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/08 | Luca Castagnola M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/08 | Karlo Kajin M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/08 | Simone Agostini M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 05/08 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/08 | Sandro Kopp M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/07 | Alexander Weis M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/07 | Viktor Durasovic M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Jan Kupcic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Giuseppe La Vela M25 Slovenj Gradec |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Andrea Fiorentini M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Bor Artnak M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Michelangelo Z F Mreule M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/06 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Dylan Dietrich M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 06/06 | Aljaz Jeran M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/06 | Alexander Weis M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 04/06 | Luca Castagnola M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 04/06 | Jost Pecovnik M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sebastian Sorger vs Jan Kupcic?
Our model gives 71% to Sebastian Sorger, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.