Tennis · M25 Maribor · 25/08, 13:00
Prediction: Samuele Pieri vs Theodore Dean
Team pages: Samuele Pieri · Theodore Dean
Prediction summary
Winner
Samuele Pieri
Theodore Dean
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Samuele Pieri
8-2 (W-L)
Theodore Dean
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Samuele Pieri 1514 · Theodore Dean 1546
| Samuele Pieri | Theodore Dean | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Samuele Pieri | Theodore Dean | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-11.3 | 11.3-10.8 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 73.3% | 65.6% |
| Break % | 48.3% | 40.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Samuele Pieri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Jonas Gundacker M25 Slovenj Gradec |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 19/08 | Miha Vetrih M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/08 | Federico Zeballos Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 06/08 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 04/08 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
| 30/07 | Federico Agustin Gomez Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/07 | Giuseppe La Vela Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 26/07 | Moritz Kudernatsch Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/07 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
Theodore Dean
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Marcel Zielinski M15 Mistelbach |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 20/08 | Luc Wieland M15 Mistelbach |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 19/08 | Aadarsh Tripathi M15 Mistelbach |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/07 | Stian Klaassen M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Bryce Nakashima M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/07 | Aidan Kim M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Rafael De Alba M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Rudy Quan M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/06 | Maxwell Exsted M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 11/06 | Vit Kalina M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Samuele Pieri vs Theodore Dean?
Our model gives 64% to Samuele Pieri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.