Tennis · M15 Hurghada · 26/08, 09:00

Prediction: Vadym Ursu vs Dev Javia

Team pages: Vadym Ursu · Dev Javia

Prediction summary
Winner
55% 45%
Vadym Ursu Dev Javia
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Vadym Ursu 3-7 (W-L)
WLLLLWLLWL
Dev Javia 8-2 (W-L)
WLWLWWWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vadym Ursu 1409 · Dev Javia 1593
Vadym UrsuDev Javia
Our model26%74%
Market78%22%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dev Javia (rating 1409 vs 1593).
  • Dev Javia is in better form: 80% recent wins.
  • Note: Vadym Ursu makes many double faults (7.7/match).
  • Note: Dev Javia makes many double faults (7/match).

Statistics

Vadym UrsuDev Javia
Win %20%80%
Win % · Clay 0% (2) 100% (1)
Sets (G-P)0.6-1.71.7-0.5
Games (G-P)9.4-12.312.3-7.4
Aces3.61.8
Double faults7.77
1st serve %66.2%71.8%
Break %33.8%53%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vadym Ursu

WWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/08 Manas Manoj Dhamne
Challenger Astana · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
04/08 Tiago Pereira
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
1-2 13-15 L
31/07 Kenta Miyoshi
Challenger Samsun · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
30/07 Denis Yevseyev
Challenger Samsun · Hard
2-1 16-12 W
28/07 Mert Naci Turker
Challenger Samsun · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
14/07 Dominik Palan
Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
07/07 Lucas Poullain
M25 Roda de Bara
0-2 8-13 L
28/06 Daniele Rapagnetta
Challenger Milan · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
14/06 Yu Hsiou Hsu
Challenger Dublin · Grass
0-2 8-12 L
07/06 Dimitar Kuzmanov
Challenger Bratislava · Clay
1-2 9-16 L

Dev Javia

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/07 Baltazar Wiger Nordas
UTR Pro Match Series · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
25/07 Aryan Jit Singh
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
24/07 Kaushik Arunkumar
UTR Pro Match Series · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
23/07 Ronin Lotlikar
UTR Pro Match Series · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
21/07 Aradhya Kshitij
UTR Pro Match Series · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
20/07 Aleksandre Shvangiradze
UTR Pro Match Series · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
25/06 Roman Sancilio
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
23/06 William Jansen
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-1 17-11 W
18/06 Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumar
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
1-2 13-15 L
16/06 Maksim Shin
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vadym Ursu vs Dev Javia?

Our model gives 55% to Vadym Ursu, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.