Tennis · Challenger Kingston · 24/08, 18:30
Prediction: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Matt Kuhar
Team pages: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez · Matt Kuhar
Prediction summary
Winner
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Matt Kuhar
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
5-5 (W-L)
Matt Kuhar
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mario Gonzalez Fernandez 1498 · Matt Kuhar 1463
| Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | Matt Kuhar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Matt Kuhar makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | Matt Kuhar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-11.5 | 11-12.3 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 6 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 63.3% |
| Break % | 34.3% | 43% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Calum Puttergill Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/08 | Roger Pascual Ferra Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Aryan Shah M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 05/08 | Ander Tarrio Ponte M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Keegan Smith Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 13/07 | Dominik Palan Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/07 | S D Prajwal Dev Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Tiago Torres M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Matthew Summers M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Matt Kuhar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Siddhant Banthia Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/08 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 31/07 | Matthew Thomson M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 30/07 | Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Jesse Ruder-Hook M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/07 | Roger Pascual Ferra Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Karl Poling Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Maxwell Exsted M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 18/06 | Neo Niedner M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Karl Kazuma Lee M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Matt Kuhar?
Our model gives 65% to Mario Gonzalez Fernandez, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.