Tennis · Challenger Kingston · 24/08, 17:00
Prediction: Aidan Kim vs Dan Martin
Team pages: Aidan Kim · Dan Martin
Prediction summary
Winner
Aidan Kim
Dan Martin
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Aidan Kim
7-3 (W-L)
Dan Martin
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Aidan Kim
0–1
Dan Martin
(1 last)
- 26 Apr0-2 5-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aidan Kim 1542 · Dan Martin 1436
| Aidan Kim | Dan Martin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aidan Kim (rating 1542 vs 1436).
- Aidan Kim is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Aidan Kim 0–1 Dan Martin (1).
Statistics
| Aidan Kim | Dan Martin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 17% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 0.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-9.7 | 11-12.3 |
| Aces | 7.8 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 76.3% | 63.6% |
| Break % | 36.4% | 47.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
H2H · Aidan Kim 0 – 1 Dan Martin (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aidan Kim 0–1 Dan Martin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/23 M15 Vero Beach | 0-2 | 5-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aidan Kim
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Ronit Karki Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/08 | Edward Winter Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Richard Mallory Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/08 | Dhakshineswar Suresh Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 09/08 | Trey Hilderbrand Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Soonwoo Kwon Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 02/08 | Karl Poling Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/07 | Trevor Svajda M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Gavin Young M25 Dallas |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 10/07 | Bruno Kuzuhara M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Dan Martin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Nicholas Gore Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/08 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 07/07 | Keegan Rice M25 Laval |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 10/06 | Zsombor Velcz M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Braden Shick Challenger Tyler · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 24/05 | Ronald Hohmann Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 14/05 | Kaylan Bigun M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 13/05 | Ryan Haviland M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/04 | Bruno Kuzuhara Challenger Tallahassee · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aidan Kim vs Dan Martin?
Our model gives 74% to Aidan Kim, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.