Tennis · Challenger Kingston · 24/08, 17:00
Prediction: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Andrew Fenty
Team pages: Alvaro Guillen Meza · Andrew Fenty
Prediction summary
Winner
Alvaro Guillen Meza
Andrew Fenty
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Alvaro Guillen Meza
4-6 (W-L)
Andrew Fenty
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alvaro Guillen Meza 1411 · Andrew Fenty 1565
| Alvaro Guillen Meza | Andrew Fenty | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 71% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andrew Fenty (rating 1411 vs 1565).
- Andrew Fenty is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Alvaro Guillen Meza makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Alvaro Guillen Meza | Andrew Fenty | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.7 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-15.2 | 11.5-8.9 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 64.6% | 74.3% |
| Break % | 44% | 43.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alvaro Guillen Meza
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Igor Marcondes Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 06/07 | Henri Squire Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 29/06 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Radu Mihai Papoe Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 16/06 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 11/06 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 09/06 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
Andrew Fenty
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Evan Zhu Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Hunter Heck Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 12/08 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/08 | Evan King Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/08 | Eli Dieveney Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/06 | Karl Poling Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/06 | Gavin Young M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 19/06 | Braden Shick M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Enzo Aguiard M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Andrew Fenty?
Our model gives 68% to Andrew Fenty, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.