Tennis · Challenger Kingston · 24/08, 17:00
Prediction: John Chin vs Benjamin Willwerth
Team pages: Benjamin Willwerth
Prediction summary
Winner
John Chin
Benjamin Willwerth
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
John Chin
3-7 (W-L)
Benjamin Willwerth
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · John Chin 1505 · Benjamin Willwerth 1497
| John Chin | Benjamin Willwerth | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| John Chin | Benjamin Willwerth | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-11.5 | 11-10.1 |
| Aces | 3 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 59.9% | 63% |
| Break % | 47.9% | 51.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
John Chin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Edward Winter Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 20/01 | Alan Magadan UTR Pro Bonita Springs · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/01 | Isaac Nortey UTR Pro Bonita Springs · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/12 | Santiago Padilla Cote UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 16/12 | Matt Kleiman UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 14/12 | Axel Nefve UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Alejandro Lopez Escribano ITF M25 Sintra · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Taiyo Kurata UTR Pro Boise · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/08 | Stewart Aronson UTR Pro Boise · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 28/08 | Ryoma Mishiro UTR Pro Boise · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Benjamin Willwerth
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 17/07 | Tristan McCormick M15 Rochester |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Joaquim Almeida M15 Rochester |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 15/07 | Reece Falck M15 Rochester |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Izyan Ahmad M15 Rochester |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/07 | Nicolas Arseneault M25 Laval |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Yi Zhou Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 06/06 | Jacob Bradshaw M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/06 | Nazim Makhlouf M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 04/06 | Luke Hooper M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in John Chin vs Benjamin Willwerth?
Our model gives 67% to Benjamin Willwerth, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.