Tennis · Challenger Kingston · 24/08, 17:00
Prediction: Edward Winter vs Andy Andrade
Team pages: Edward Winter · Andy Andrade
Prediction summary
Winner
Edward Winter
Andy Andrade
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Edward Winter
7-3 (W-L)
Andy Andrade
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Edward Winter 1548 · Andy Andrade 1489
| Edward Winter | Andy Andrade | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Edward Winter (rating 1548 vs 1489).
- Note: Andy Andrade makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Edward Winter | Andy Andrade | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-8.2 | 11.8-12.4 |
| Aces | 2 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 68.3% | 68.7% |
| Break % | 41.8% | 47.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Edward Winter
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/08 | John Chin Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/08 | Aidan Kim Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/08 | Steven Christie Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/08 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 10/08 | Gavin Young Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/08 | Dominick Mosejczuk Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/07 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Moise Kouame ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/07 | Soonwoo Kwon ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Andy Andrade
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 18/08 | Liam Draxl Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/08 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 14/08 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/08 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 03/08 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Braden Shick Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Alexei Popyrin Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 29/06 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Colton Smith Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Edward Winter vs Andy Andrade?
Our model gives 50% to Edward Winter, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.