Tennis · Challenger Kingston · 24/08, 17:00
Prediction: Gijs Brouwer vs Andres Martin
Team pages: Gijs Brouwer · Andres Martin
Prediction summary
Winner
Gijs Brouwer
Andres Martin
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Gijs Brouwer
5-5 (W-L)
Andres Martin
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gijs Brouwer 1494 · Andres Martin 1536
| Gijs Brouwer | Andres Martin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andres Martin (rating 1494 vs 1536).
- Note: Gijs Brouwer makes many double faults (7.3/match).
Statistics
| Gijs Brouwer | Andres Martin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.4-11.9 | 13.5-10.6 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 7.3 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 58% | 72.5% |
| Break % | 46.8% | 47.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gijs Brouwer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 04/08 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 12/07 | Tsung-Hao Huang Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Daniel Michalski Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Shymkent · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 27/04 | Ivan Gakhov Challenger Shymkent · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 20/04 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Shymkent · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 24/03 | Lucas Poullain M25 Saint Dizier · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/03 | James Beaven M25 Saint Dizier · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Andres Martin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 07/08 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 07/08 | Millen Hurrion Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 05/08 | Nicolas Arseneault Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/08 | Trevor Svajda Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/08 | Alex Kobelt Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/07 | Ugo Humbert ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Moez Echargui ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/07 | Christopher O'Connell ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 24/07 | Dhakshineswar Suresh Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gijs Brouwer vs Andres Martin?
Our model gives 70% to Andres Martin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.