Tennis · Challenger Kingston · 23/08, 17:00
Prediction: Aidan Kim vs Ronit Karki
Team pages: Aidan Kim · Ronit Karki
Prediction summary
Winner
Aidan Kim
Ronit Karki
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Aidan Kim
7-3 (W-L)
Ronit Karki
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aidan Kim 1524 · Ronit Karki 1449
| Aidan Kim | Ronit Karki | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aidan Kim (rating 1524 vs 1449).
- Aidan Kim is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Ronit Karki makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Aidan Kim | Ronit Karki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-10.2 | 9-12.1 |
| Aces | 7.6 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 75.5% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 33% | 31.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aidan Kim
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Edward Winter Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Richard Mallory Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/08 | Dhakshineswar Suresh Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 09/08 | Trey Hilderbrand Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Soonwoo Kwon Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 02/08 | Karl Poling Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/07 | Trevor Svajda M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Gavin Young M25 Dallas |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 10/07 | Bruno Kuzuhara M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Mees Rottgering M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Ronit Karki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Lev Seidman M25 Champaign |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Pavle Marinkov Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/06 | James Trotter Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Spencer Johnson M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 20/06 | Bryce Nakashima M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Vit Kalina M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Felipe Vazquez M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/05 | Taiyo Yamanaka Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/05 | Aryan Lakshmanan Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/05 | Manish Sureshkumar Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aidan Kim vs Ronit Karki?
Our model gives 73% to Aidan Kim, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.