Tennis · UTR Pro Gold Coast · 23/08, 01:00
Prediction: Charlie Pade vs Oscar Andrews
Team pages: Charlie Pade · Oscar Andrews
Prediction summary
Winner
Charlie Pade
Oscar Andrews
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Charlie Pade
4-6 (W-L)
Oscar Andrews
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Charlie Pade 1464 · Oscar Andrews 1400
| Charlie Pade | Oscar Andrews | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Charlie Pade (rating 1464 vs 1400).
- Charlie Pade is in better form: 40% recent wins.
- Note: Oscar Andrews makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Charlie Pade | Oscar Andrews | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 10% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.5 | 0.6-1.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-12.6 | 8.4-13.5 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 59.1% | 66.2% |
| Break % | 52.7% | 42% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Charlie Pade
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Sam Wensley UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Tomislav Edward Papac UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Haruto Ishikawa UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Harrison Satara M15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 28/07 | Sam Wensley M15 Brisbane |
1-2 | 10-9 | L |
| 21/06 | Eric Tripathi UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 20/06 | Alexander Despoja UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 18/06 | Matt Hulme UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 17/06 | Finley Dyer UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
Oscar Andrews
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | James Girdler UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 21/08 | Eric Tripathi UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 20/08 | Casey Hoole UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Zane Stevens UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Alec Braund UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/05 | Elijah Dikkenberg UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 07/05 | Jera Staley UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/05 | Marin Dumitru UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 04/05 | Ethan Connelly UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 03/05 | Noah Brownrigg UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Charlie Pade vs Oscar Andrews?
Our model gives 67% to Charlie Pade, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.