Tennis · UTR Pro Gold Coast · 25/08, 02:30
Prediction: Casey Hoole vs Derek Pham
Team pages: Casey Hoole · Derek Pham
Prediction summary
Winner
Casey Hoole
Derek Pham
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Casey Hoole
7-3 (W-L)
Derek Pham
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Casey Hoole
1–1
Derek Pham
(2 last)
- 19 Dec2-0 13-8W
- 06 Mar0-2 9-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Casey Hoole 1640 · Derek Pham 1559
| Casey Hoole | Derek Pham | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Casey Hoole (rating 1640 vs 1559).
- Casey Hoole is in better form: 100% recent wins.
Statistics
| Casey Hoole | Derek Pham | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (10) | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2-0.3 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-6.7 | 12.5-9.4 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 73% | 72.8% |
| Break % | 54.7% | 45.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
H2H · Casey Hoole 1 – 1 Derek Pham (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Casey Hoole 1–1 Derek Pham
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/12/24 ITF M15 Tauranga | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/03/21 UTR Pro Tennis Series Brisbane | 0-2 | 9-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Casey Hoole
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Alec Braund UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 23/08 | Elijah Cham UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/08 | Haruto Ishikawa UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/08 | Alec Braund UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/08 | Oscar Andrews UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/08 | Zane Stevens UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 18/08 | Eric Tripathi UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/08 | Alec Gaudin UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/08 | Elijah Cham UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 05/08 | Jeremy Beale UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Derek Pham
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Clint Charles UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Omar Jasika M15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Chase Ferguson M15 Brisbane |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 22/07 | Ymerali Ibraimi M15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 20/11 | Micah Braswell ITF M25 Austin · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/11 | Nathan Ponwith ITF M25 Austin · Hard |
2-0 | 11-7 | W |
| 13/11 | Haydar Cem Gokpinar UTR Pro Stillwater · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/11 | Charlie Valentine UTR Pro Stillwater · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/11 | Ilias Hirani Worthington UTR Pro Stillwater · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/11 | Evan Sharygin UTR Pro Stillwater · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Casey Hoole vs Derek Pham?
Our model gives 60% to Casey Hoole, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.