Tennis · Challenger Quebec City · 22/08, 00:30
Prediction: Taro Daniel vs Jacob Fearnley
Team pages: Taro Daniel · Jacob Fearnley
Prediction summary
Winner
Taro Daniel
Jacob Fearnley
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Taro Daniel
9-1 (W-L)
Jacob Fearnley
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Taro Daniel 1584 · Jacob Fearnley 1551
| Taro Daniel | Jacob Fearnley | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Jacob Fearnley makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Taro Daniel | Jacob Fearnley | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (4) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-9.3 | 12.4-10.5 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 70.7% | 75.4% |
| Break % | 55.7% | 45.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Taro Daniel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Jan Choinski Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Duncan Chan Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Dusan Lajovic Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 17/08 | Maxime St-Hilaire Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/07 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 18/07 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Carlos Sanchez Jover ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 12/07 | Federico Coria ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/07 | Valentin Royer Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
Jacob Fearnley
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/08 | Mackenzie McDonald Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Nicolas Mejia ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 06/08 | Jakub Mensik ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 04/08 | Adrian Mannarino ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/08 | Sebastian Ofner ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/07 | Alex Michelsen Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/07 | Michael Zheng Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/07 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 23/07 | Tristan Boyer Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Taro Daniel vs Jacob Fearnley?
Our model gives 57% to Jacob Fearnley, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.