Tennis · Challenger Quebec City · 21/08, 17:00
Prediction: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche
Team pages: Benjamin Bonzi · Luca Van Assche
Prediction summary
Winner
Benjamin Bonzi
Luca Van Assche
Estimated games
24.5
Recent form · 10 last
Benjamin Bonzi
7-3 (W-L)
Luca Van Assche
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Benjamin Bonzi
3–2
Luca Van Assche
(5 last)
- 11 Feb1-2 15-16L
- 12 Oct2-0 12-5W
- 12 Aug1-2 15-13L
- 20 Feb2-0 14-10W
- 10 Sept2-1 15-11W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Benjamin Bonzi 1523 · Luca Van Assche 1554
| Benjamin Bonzi | Luca Van Assche | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Benjamin Bonzi 3–2 Luca Van Assche (5).
- Note: Luca Van Assche makes many double faults (6.2/match).
Statistics
| Benjamin Bonzi | Luca Van Assche | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.7-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-12 | 14.6-12.6 |
| Aces | 7.7 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 6.2 |
| 1st serve % | 72.3% | 67.7% |
| Break % | 38.9% | 53.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.5
H2H · Benjamin Bonzi 3 – 2 Luca Van Assche (5)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Benjamin Bonzi 3–2 Luca Van Assche
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/25 ATP Marseille | 1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 12/10/24 Challenger Roanne | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/08/24 Challenger Cary | 1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 20/02/23 ATP Marseille | 2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 10/09/21 Challenger Cassis | 2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Benjamin Bonzi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Justin Boulais Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/08 | Dusan Lajovic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 04/08 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 01/08 | Hugo Dellien ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 31/07 | Jay Friend Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 29/07 | Michael Mmoh Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Blaise Bicknell Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 18/06 | Christopher O'Connell Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/06 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
Luca Van Assche
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Rei Sakamoto Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 14/08 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Dusan Lajovic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 11/08 | Gustavo Heide ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/08 | Titouan Droguet ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 26/07 | Alexander Blockx ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 25/07 | Hugo Gaston ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/07 | Andrey Rublev ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 23/07 | Pablo Carreno Busta ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 20/07 | Frederico Ferreira Silva ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche?
Our model gives 55% to Luca Van Assche, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.