Tennis · Challenger Quebec City · 21/08, 18:30
Prediction: Jesper De Jong vs Hugo Gaston
Team pages: Jesper De Jong · Hugo Gaston
Prediction summary
Winner
Jesper De Jong
Hugo Gaston
Estimated games
24
Recent form · 10 last
Jesper De Jong
6-4 (W-L)
Hugo Gaston
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jesper De Jong
0–1
Hugo Gaston
(1 last)
- 24 Sept0-2 4-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jesper De Jong 1492 · Hugo Gaston 1519
| Jesper De Jong | Hugo Gaston | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Jesper De Jong 0–1 Hugo Gaston (1).
- Note: Jesper De Jong makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Jesper De Jong | Hugo Gaston | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-12 | 12.5-11.8 |
| Aces | 8.2 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 74.8% | 66.8% |
| Break % | 29.9% | 53.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24
H2H · Jesper De Jong 0 – 1 Hugo Gaston (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jesper De Jong 0–1 Hugo Gaston
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09/21 Challenger Braga | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jesper De Jong
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/08 | Dane Sweeny Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 14/08 | Alex Michelsen ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Timofey Skatov ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Sebastian Baez ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Vilius Gaubas ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Joao Fonseca Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 10-19 | L |
| 30/06 | Rinky Hijikata Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 27-26 | W |
| 16/06 | Laslo Djere Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Roberto Carballes Baena Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Hugo Gaston
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 01/08 | Duncan Chan ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 25/07 | Luca Van Assche ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Tiago Torres ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Titouan Droguet ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/07 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Jan Choinski Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 11/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 10/07 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jesper De Jong vs Hugo Gaston?
Our model gives 52% to Jesper De Jong, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.