Tennis · Challenger Quebec City · 21/08, 22:30
Prediction: Zizou Bergs vs Stefanos Sakellaridis
Team pages: Zizou Bergs · Stefanos Sakellaridis
Prediction summary
Winner
Zizou Bergs
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Estimated games
24.4
Recent form · 10 last
Zizou Bergs
4-6 (W-L)
Stefanos Sakellaridis
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Zizou Bergs
0–1
Stefanos Sakellaridis
(1 last)
- 03 Jan1-2 11-17L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zizou Bergs 1501 · Stefanos Sakellaridis 1561
| Zizou Bergs | Stefanos Sakellaridis | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stefanos Sakellaridis (rating 1501 vs 1561).
- Stefanos Sakellaridis dominates on serve: 10 aces and 40.7% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Zizou Bergs 0–1 Stefanos Sakellaridis (1).
- Note: Zizou Bergs makes many double faults (6.1/match).
- Note: Stefanos Sakellaridis makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Zizou Bergs | Stefanos Sakellaridis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.5 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.4-14.1 | 11.8-11.2 |
| Aces | 8.1 | 10 |
| Double faults | 6.1 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 78.3% | 78.1% |
| Break % | 33.4% | 40.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.4
H2H · Zizou Bergs 0 – 1 Stefanos Sakellaridis (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Zizou Bergs 0–1 Stefanos Sakellaridis
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/01/23 United Cup | 1-2 | 11-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zizou Bergs
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/08 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Ben Shelton ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Sebastian Baez ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 27/07 | Taylor Fritz ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Arthur Fery Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 29-25 | L |
| 02/07 | Jaime Faria Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-17 | W |
| 30/06 | Ugo Humbert Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 26-22 | W |
| 28/06 | Ugo Humbert ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 26/06 | Toby Samuel ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Stefanos Sakellaridis
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Aleksandar Vukic Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/08 | Ugo Blanchet Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 18/08 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 17/08 | Karl Poling Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 13/08 | Titouan Droguet ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Martin Damm ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/06 | Oliver Tarvet Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 11-19 | L |
| 24/06 | Federico Coria Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/06 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zizou Bergs vs Stefanos Sakellaridis?
Our model gives 55% to Zizou Bergs, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.