Tennis · Challenger Cancun · 21/08, 22:00
Prediction: Roman Safiullin vs Hubert Hurkacz
Team pages: Roman Safiullin · Hubert Hurkacz
Prediction summary
Winner
Roman Safiullin
Hubert Hurkacz
Estimated games
29.6
Recent form · 10 last
Roman Safiullin
8-2 (W-L)
Hubert Hurkacz
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Roman Safiullin
0–1
Hubert Hurkacz
(1 last)
- 29 Oct0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Roman Safiullin 1570 · Hubert Hurkacz 1554
| Roman Safiullin | Hubert Hurkacz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Hubert Hurkacz dominates on serve: 15.1 aces and 40.1% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Roman Safiullin 0–1 Hubert Hurkacz (1).
Statistics
| Roman Safiullin | Hubert Hurkacz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 75% (8) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2.2-1.1 | 2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 18.2-15.9 | 16.5-13.7 |
| Aces | 7.1 | 15.1 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 75.3% | 80.9% |
| Break % | 39.7% | 40.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
29.6
H2H · Roman Safiullin 0 – 1 Hubert Hurkacz (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Roman Safiullin 0–1 Hubert Hurkacz
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10/17 Challenger Shenzhen 2 Qual | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Roman Safiullin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Stan Wawrinka Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/08 | Sebastian Ofner Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/07 | Novak Djokovic Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 18-22 | L |
| 03/07 | Joao Fonseca Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Botic Van De Zandschulp Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 26-21 | W |
| 29/06 | Andrey Rublev Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 28-26 | W |
| 25/06 | Jerome Kym Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 27-28 | W |
| 24/06 | Kimmer Coppejans Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 22/06 | James McCabe Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/06 | Zhizhen Zhang Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
Hubert Hurkacz
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Henrique Rocha Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 15/08 | Tommy Paul ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 14/08 | Sho Shimabukuro ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/08 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 05/08 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Marcos Giron ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 03/07 | Tommy Paul Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 24-19 | W |
| 01/07 | Sebastian Ofner Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-14 | W |
| 29/06 | Casper Ruud Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-12 | W |
| 17/06 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Roman Safiullin vs Hubert Hurkacz?
Our model gives 57% to Hubert Hurkacz, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.