Tennis · Challenger Cancun · 22/08, 01:30
Prediction: Sebastian Baez vs Coleman Wong
Team pages: Sebastian Baez · Coleman Wong
Prediction summary
Winner
Sebastian Baez
Coleman Wong
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Sebastian Baez
6-4 (W-L)
Coleman Wong
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sebastian Baez 1521 · Coleman Wong 1560
| Sebastian Baez | Coleman Wong | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Coleman Wong makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Sebastian Baez | Coleman Wong | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-11.5 | 12-10.5 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 10.1 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 65.8% | 77.6% |
| Break % | 45.4% | 36.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sebastian Baez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/08 | Learner Tien ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Grigor Dimitrov ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 05/08 | Zizou Bergs ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 04/08 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/07 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Arthur Rinderknech ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 21/07 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 17/07 | Andrey Rublev ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Jesper De Jong ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Coleman Wong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Alan Magadan Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 19/08 | Alexandre Muller Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/08 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 13/08 | Otto Virtanen ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 11/08 | Seong Chan Hong ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/08 | Arthur Gea ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 28/07 | Darwin Blanch ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sebastian Baez vs Coleman Wong?
Our model gives 51% to Coleman Wong, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.