Tennis · Challenger Cancun · 21/08, 23:30
Prediction: Vit Kopriva vs Lloyd Harris
Team pages: Vit Kopriva · Lloyd Harris
Prediction summary
Winner
Vit Kopriva
Lloyd Harris
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Vit Kopriva
5-5 (W-L)
Lloyd Harris
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Vit Kopriva
0–1
Lloyd Harris
(1 last)
- 08 Feb0-2 10-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vit Kopriva 1482 · Lloyd Harris 1628
| Vit Kopriva | Lloyd Harris | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 70% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lloyd Harris (rating 1482 vs 1628).
- Lloyd Harris dominates on serve: 8 aces and 54.1% break avg.
- Lloyd Harris is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Vit Kopriva 0–1 Lloyd Harris (1).
Statistics
| Vit Kopriva | Lloyd Harris | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.9-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-12.2 | 14-9.7 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 8 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 72.3% | 78.6% |
| Break % | 39.9% | 54.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
H2H · Vit Kopriva 0 – 1 Lloyd Harris (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vit Kopriva 0–1 Lloyd Harris
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/17 ITF Egypt F4 | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vit Kopriva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/08 | Quentin Halys ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Alexis Galarneau ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/07 | Ignacio Buse ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 13/07 | Dino Prizmic ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Jan Choinski Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 10-19 | L |
| 25/06 | Ethan Quinn ATP Mallorca · Grass |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 24/06 | Ignacio Buse ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Damir Dzumhur ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Lloyd Harris
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/08 | Laslo Djere Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/08 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/08 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/08 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 14/08 | Harry Wendelken Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 14/08 | Mees Rottgering Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/08 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/08 | Dusan Lajovic Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Henry Searle Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vit Kopriva vs Lloyd Harris?
Our model gives 62% to Lloyd Harris, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.