Tennis · Challenger Cancun · 21/08, 01:00

Prediction: Moise Kouame vs Roman Andres Burruchaga

Team pages: Moise Kouame · Roman Andres Burruchaga

Prediction summary
Winner
42% 58%
Moise Kouame Roman Andres Burruchaga
Estimated games
24.5
Recent form · 10 last
Moise Kouame 5-5 (W-L)
WLWWWLLLLW
Roman Andres Burruchaga 6-4 (W-L)
LWWWLWWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Moise Kouame 1451 · Roman Andres Burruchaga 1509
Moise KouameRoman Andres Burruchaga
Our model42%58%
Market42%58%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Roman Andres Burruchaga (rating 1451 vs 1509).
  • Note: Moise Kouame makes many double faults (5.2/match).

Statistics

Moise KouameRoman Andres Burruchaga
Win %30%50%
Win % · Clay 29% (7) 63% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.71.3-1.3
Games (G-P)12.6-14.112.6-11.8
Aces5.13.9
Double faults5.23.4
1st serve %68.2%67.7%
Break %28.8%53.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 24.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Moise Kouame

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/08 Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Challenger Cancun · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
29/07 Edward Winter
ATP Los Cabos · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
14/07 Nuno Borges
ATP Bastad · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
06/07 Max Hans Rehberg
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
20/06 Batsomi Marobela
Davis Cup
1-2 13-15 L
30/05 Alejandro Tabilo
French Open · Clay
1-3 19-23 L
28/05 Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
French Open · Clay
3-2 25-26 W
26/05 Marin Cilic
French Open · Clay
3-0 19-9 W
19/05 Jacopo Vasami
Challenger Cervia · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
12/05 Benjamin Bonzi
Challenger Bordeaux · Clay
1-2 10-14 L

Roman Andres Burruchaga

WWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/08 Jan-Lennard Struff
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 15-15 L
04/08 Alexei Popyrin
ATP Montreal · Hard
1-2 14-17 L
24/07 Alexander Blockx
ATP Estoril · Clay
1-2 15-17 L
22/07 Nuno Borges
ATP Estoril · Clay
2-1 16-10 W
21/07 Stan Wawrinka
ATP Estoril · Clay
2-1 16-13 W
17/07 Daniel Merida Aguilar
ATP Umag · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
16/07 Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Umag · Clay
2-1 14-11 W
15/07 Flavio Cobolli
ATP Umag · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
14/07 Marco Cecchinato
ATP Umag · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
07/07 Max Schoenhaus
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Moise Kouame vs Roman Andres Burruchaga?

Our model gives 58% to Roman Andres Burruchaga, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.