Tennis · Challenger Quebec City · 21/08, 02:00
Prediction: Jacob Fearnley vs Alexis Galarneau
Team pages: Jacob Fearnley · Alexis Galarneau
Prediction summary
Winner
Jacob Fearnley
Alexis Galarneau
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Jacob Fearnley
7-3 (W-L)
Alexis Galarneau
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jacob Fearnley
1–0
Alexis Galarneau
(1 last)
- 11 Jul2-1 18-14W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jacob Fearnley 1553 · Alexis Galarneau 1517
| Jacob Fearnley | Alexis Galarneau | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Jacob Fearnley 1–0 Alexis Galarneau (1).
- Note: Jacob Fearnley makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Jacob Fearnley | Alexis Galarneau | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-10.8 | 12.8-11.8 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 4 |
| Double faults | 5.2 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 74.6% | 70.3% |
| Break % | 49.3% | 50.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
H2H · Jacob Fearnley 1 – 0 Alexis Galarneau (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jacob Fearnley 1–0 Alexis Galarneau
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/26 Challenger Newport | 2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jacob Fearnley
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Mackenzie McDonald Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Nicolas Mejia ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 06/08 | Jakub Mensik ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 04/08 | Adrian Mannarino ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/08 | Sebastian Ofner ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/07 | Alex Michelsen Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/07 | Michael Zheng Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/07 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 23/07 | Tristan Boyer Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/07 | Remy Bertola Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Alexis Galarneau
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Dino Prizmic Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/08 | Vit Kopriva ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Aleksandar Vukic Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 15/07 | Tyler Zink Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 14/07 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 10/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/07 | Adrian Mannarino Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 08/07 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 24/06 | Oliver Tarvet Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jacob Fearnley vs Alexis Galarneau?
Our model gives 63% to Jacob Fearnley, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.