Tennis · Challenger Kingston · 20/08, 19:00
Prediction: Valentin Royer vs Gonzalo Bueno
Team pages: Valentin Royer · Gonzalo Bueno
Prediction summary
Winner
Valentin Royer
Gonzalo Bueno
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Valentin Royer
3-7 (W-L)
Gonzalo Bueno
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valentin Royer 1512 · Gonzalo Bueno 1570
| Valentin Royer | Gonzalo Bueno | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gonzalo Bueno (rating 1512 vs 1570).
Statistics
| Valentin Royer | Gonzalo Bueno | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-11.4 | 11.9-10.3 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 66.4% | 66.3% |
| Break % | 44.9% | 37.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valentin Royer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Tyler Zink Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Luis Guto Miguel Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 14/08 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 06/08 | Tommy Paul ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Pablo Carreno Busta ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 14/07 | Alex Molcan ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/07 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Taro Daniel Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 09/07 | Olle Wallin Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 07/07 | Maximilian Neuchrist Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Gonzalo Bueno
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Edward Winter Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/08 | Benjamin Willwerth Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 02/08 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Hynek Barton Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 28/07 | Pablo Martinez Gomez Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/07 | Jaime Faria ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Tiago Pereira ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 19/07 | Andrea Pellegrino ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 18/07 | Francisco Rocha ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valentin Royer vs Gonzalo Bueno?
Our model gives 62% to Valentin Royer, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.