Tennis · Challenger Quebec City · 20/08, 21:30
Prediction: Jan Choinski vs Taro Daniel
Team pages: Jan Choinski · Taro Daniel
Prediction summary
Winner
Jan Choinski
Taro Daniel
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jan Choinski
7-3 (W-L)
Taro Daniel
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jan Choinski
0–1
Taro Daniel
(1 last)
- 01 Jan1-2 14-15L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jan Choinski 1599 · Taro Daniel 1568
| Jan Choinski | Taro Daniel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Jan Choinski 0–1 Taro Daniel (1).
Statistics
| Jan Choinski | Taro Daniel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 89% (9) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-8.7 | 12.5-9.3 |
| Aces | 6.1 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 72.3% | 68.8% |
| Break % | 37.1% | 58% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
H2H · Jan Choinski 0 – 1 Taro Daniel (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jan Choinski 0–1 Taro Daniel
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/01/24 ATP Hong Kong | 1-2 | 14-15 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jan Choinski
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 02/08 | Jamie Mackenzie Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/08 | Federico Agustin Gomez Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/07 | Olle Wallin Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Alex Barrena Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/07 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Hugo Gaston Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 11/07 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Taro Daniel
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Duncan Chan Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Dusan Lajovic Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 17/08 | Maxime St-Hilaire Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/07 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 18/07 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Carlos Sanchez Jover ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 12/07 | Federico Coria ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/07 | Valentin Royer Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 09/07 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jan Choinski vs Taro Daniel?
Our model gives 54% to Jan Choinski, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.