Tennis · M25 Idanha-A-Nova · 20/08, 12:30

Prediction: Matias Reyniak vs Andrea Colombo

Team pages: Matias Reyniak · Andrea Colombo

Prediction summary
Winner
33% 67%
Matias Reyniak Andrea Colombo
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Matias Reyniak 6-4 (W-L)
WWWLLWLWLW
Andrea Colombo 9-1 (W-L)
WWWWWLWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Matias Reyniak 1523 · Andrea Colombo 1538
Matias ReyniakAndrea Colombo
Our model48%52%
Market22%78%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Andrea Colombo dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 60.2% break avg.

Statistics

Matias ReyniakAndrea Colombo
Win %60%60%
Win % · Clay 50% (2) 67% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.4-1.11.5-0.8
Games (G-P)10.9-10.412.5-9.6
Aces1.46.8
Double faults2.83
1st serve %64.8%78.4%
Break %31.2%60.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Matias Reyniak

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/08 Rafael Izquierdo Luque
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
2-1 17-13 W
12/08 Rafael Izquierdo Luque
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
0-2 4-12 L
10/08 Vasco Leote Prata
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
2-1 8-9 W
04/08 Ander Tarrio Ponte
M25 Tauste · ~Clay
1-2 12-14 L
03/08 Lefteri Apostolou
M25 Tauste · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
07/07 Mae Malige
M25 Roda de Bara
0-2 2-12 L
05/07 Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
1-2 13-15 L
04/07 Dimitris Azoidis
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
03/07 S Mert Ozdemir
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-1 16-11 W
02/07 Denis Vishenchuk Vishenko
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W

Andrea Colombo

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/08 Robin Bertrand
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
2-0 13-8 W
13/08 Goncalo Marques
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
1-2 16-17 L
12/08 Francisco Faria
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
2-0 12-3 W
10/08 Pedro Liborio
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
2-0 13-7 W
06/08 Alejo Sanchez Quilez
M25 Tauste · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
05/08 Yago Castellanos
M25 Tauste · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
04/08 Noah Regas
M25 Tauste · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
21/07 Clement Lemire
M15 Rognac
1-2 15-17 L
16/07 Iker Urribarrens
M15 Castelo Branco
1-2 12-16 L
15/07 Noah Lopez Cherubino
M15 Castelo Branco
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Matias Reyniak vs Andrea Colombo?

Our model gives 67% to Andrea Colombo, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.