Tennis · M25 Lesa · 20/08, 12:00

Prediction: Denis Constantin Spiridon vs Laurent Lokoli

Team pages: Denis Constantin Spiridon · Laurent Lokoli

Prediction summary
Winner
24% 76%
Denis Constantin Spiridon Laurent Lokoli
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Denis Constantin Spiridon 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWLWWLWW
Laurent Lokoli 8-2 (W-L)
WLWWWWWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Denis Constantin Spiridon 1548 · Laurent Lokoli 1625
Denis Constantin SpiridonLaurent Lokoli
Our model39%61%
Market12%88%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Laurent Lokoli (rating 1548 vs 1625).

Statistics

Denis Constantin SpiridonLaurent Lokoli
Win %70%90%
Win % · Clay 100% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.91.8-0.3
Games (G-P)11.4-1011.9-5.9
Aces2.81.7
Double faults2.11.7
1st serve %69%77.1%
Break %39.2%49.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Denis Constantin Spiridon

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/08 Gabriele Bosio
M25 Lesa
2-1 16-13 W
18/08 Jacopo Antonelli
M25 Lesa
2-0 12-4 W
04/08 Pietro Romeo Scomparin
M25 Fano
0-2 7-13 L
28/07 Giorgio Tabacco
M25 Bolzano · ~Clay
2-1 11-10 W
21/07 Martin Van Der Meerschen
M15 Segrate
1-2 12-15 L
10/07 Yanis Ghazouani Durand
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
0-2 6-12 L
09/07 Pierre Antoine Tailleu
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
2-0 12-7 W
08/07 Tristan Berard
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
2-0 12-6 W
25/06 Leonardo Borrelli
M15 Bergamo · ~Clay
2-1 14-15 W
23/06 Hugo Car
M15 Bergamo · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Laurent Lokoli

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/08 Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
M25 Lesa
2-0 12-5 W
12/08 Mickael Kaouk
M25 Koksijde
0-2 7-12 L
11/08 Martin Riu
M25 Koksijde
2-0 12-2 W
12/07 Yanis Ghazouani Durand
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
2-0 12-4 W
11/07 Florent Bax
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
2-0 12-4 W
10/07 Rodrigo Alujas
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
2-0 12-5 W
09/07 Matisse Martin
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
2-0 12-3 W
08/07 Mathieu Scaglia
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
2-0 13-8 W
05/07 Dan Added
M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard
2-1 15-11 W
04/07 Matisse Bobichon
M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Denis Constantin Spiridon vs Laurent Lokoli?

Our model gives 76% to Laurent Lokoli, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.