Prediction: Samuele Seghetti vs Lorenzo Rottoli
Team pages: Samuele Seghetti · Lorenzo Rottoli
Prediction summary
Winner
Samuele Seghetti
Lorenzo Rottoli
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Samuele Seghetti
3-7 (W-L)
Lorenzo Rottoli
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Samuele Seghetti 1421 · Lorenzo Rottoli 1505
| Samuele Seghetti | Lorenzo Rottoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lorenzo Rottoli (rating 1421 vs 1505).
- Lorenzo Rottoli is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Samuele Seghetti | Lorenzo Rottoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (3) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.4 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-11.9 | 12.6-12 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 62.9% | 64.8% |
| Break % | 42.9% | 46.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Samuele Seghetti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Gianmarco Ferrari M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/07 | Petr Michnev M15 Lodz |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 15/06 | Luca Parenti M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/05 | Alaa Trifi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-1 | 6-9 | L |
| 29/04 | Aziz Ouakaa M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-1 | 16-18 | L |
| 18/03 | Vito Dell'Elba M15 Foggia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 17/12 | Nicolas Tepmahc M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 02/10 | Pieter De Lange M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Vito Dell'Elba M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Lorenzo Rottoli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Alessandro Spadola M25 Lesa |
2-1 | 15-6 | W |
| 05/08 | Gabriele Crivellaro M25 Fano |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Alessandro Spadola M25 Fano |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 15/07 | Daniele Rapagnetta M15 Gubbio |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Oleg Prihodko Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Johan Nikles M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-20 | L |
| 27/06 | Yassine Dlimi M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 26/06 | Massimo Giunta M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 25/06 | Dillon Beckles M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Denis Klok M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Samuele Seghetti vs Lorenzo Rottoli?
Our model gives 68% to Lorenzo Rottoli, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.