Tennis · M25 Lesa · 20/08, 10:00

Prediction: Blu Baker vs Andrea De Marchi

Team pages: Blu Baker · Andrea De Marchi

Prediction summary
Winner
45% 55%
Blu Baker Andrea De Marchi
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Blu Baker 7-3 (W-L)
LWLWWWWWLW
Andrea De Marchi 7-3 (W-L)
LWLLWWWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Blu Baker 1590 · Andrea De Marchi 1567
Blu BakerAndrea De Marchi
Our model53%47%
Market38%63%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Blu BakerAndrea De Marchi
Win %80%70%
Win % · Clay 33% (3) 71% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.81.6-0.6
Games (G-P)12.1-8.111.5-8.6
Aces1.20.9
Double faults2.92.5
1st serve %68.1%66.6%
Break %40.2%39.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Blu Baker

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/08 Luca Parenti
M25 Lesa
2-1 16-12 W
24/05 Xavier Calvelo
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-1 14-9 W
23/05 Reece Falck
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
22/05 Aaron Eliscu
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-1 W
21/05 Kaj Quirijns
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
19/05 Ford McCollum
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
18/05 Gabriel Jessup
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-1 16-10 W
23/04 Justin Roberts
M15 Orlando · ~Clay
0-2 4-8 L
22/04 Matthew Segura
M15 Orlando · ~Clay
2-1 16-12 W
16/04 Donald Nikolas Stoot
M15 Orlando · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L

Andrea De Marchi

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/08 Francesco Forti
M25 Lesa
2-0 9-6 W
02/08 Veljko Krstic
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
01/08 Niksa Arsic
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
31/07 Marko Maksimovic
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
30/07 Savva Rybkin
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
29/07 Kristijan Juhas
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W
23/07 Lorenzo Comino
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 11-17 L
16/07 Pierre Antoine Tailleu
M15 Gubbio
1-2 13-12 L
14/07 Leonardo Angeloni
M15 Gubbio
2-0 12-3 W
03/07 Timofei Derepasko
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Blu Baker vs Andrea De Marchi?

Our model gives 55% to Andrea De Marchi, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.