Prediction: Daniele Rapagnetta vs Manuel Mazza
Team pages: Daniele Rapagnetta · Manuel Mazza
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniele Rapagnetta
Manuel Mazza
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Daniele Rapagnetta
5-5 (W-L)
Manuel Mazza
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniele Rapagnetta 1508 · Manuel Mazza 1463
| Daniele Rapagnetta | Manuel Mazza | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniele Rapagnetta (rating 1508 vs 1463).
Statistics
| Daniele Rapagnetta | Manuel Mazza | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (3) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-11.8 | 11.6-12.9 |
| Aces | 3 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 62.6% | 63% |
| Break % | 37.2% | 36.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniele Rapagnetta
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Maxime Janvier M25 Lesa |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 09/08 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Todi · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 02/08 | George Lazarov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Pierluigi Basile M15 Gubbio |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 18/07 | Pietro Marino M15 Gubbio |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 17/07 | Maximilian Homberg M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/07 | Filippo Mazzola M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Lorenzo Rottoli M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Pieter De Lange M25 The Hague |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 02/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Manuel Mazza
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Stefano D'Agostino M25 Lesa |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 27/07 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Niels Visker Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/06 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Marcello Serafini M25 Milano · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 08/06 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 01/06 | Nicolas Alvarez Varona Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/05 | Ioannis Xilas Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
| 28/05 | Matteo Sciahbasi M25 Grado · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 27/05 | Andrea Zanini M25 Grado · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniele Rapagnetta vs Manuel Mazza?
Our model gives 51% to Manuel Mazza, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.