Tennis · M25 Idanha-A-Nova · 20/08, 11:00
Prediction: Rodrigo Fernandes vs Izan Almazan Valiente
Team pages: Rodrigo Fernandes · Izan Almazan Valiente
Prediction summary
Winner
Rodrigo Fernandes
Izan Almazan Valiente
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Rodrigo Fernandes
4-6 (W-L)
Izan Almazan Valiente
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rodrigo Fernandes 1506 · Izan Almazan Valiente 1562
| Rodrigo Fernandes | Izan Almazan Valiente | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Izan Almazan Valiente (rating 1506 vs 1562).
- Note: Rodrigo Fernandes makes many double faults (5.3/match).
- Note: Izan Almazan Valiente makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Rodrigo Fernandes | Izan Almazan Valiente | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-11.4 | 13.9-11.5 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 5.4 |
| Double faults | 5.3 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 73% | 72.4% |
| Break % | 39.2% | 46.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rodrigo Fernandes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Tomas Quesada Perez M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 12/08 | Pavel Lagutin M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Pablo Perez Ramos M15 Castelo Branco |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Patrick Schoen M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 29/06 | Pablo Aunion M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-11 | W |
| 25/06 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Porto |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Francisco Faria M25 Porto |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/06 | Ilya Ivashka M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Izan Almazan Valiente
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Diogo Morais M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 13/08 | Tristan McCormick M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Maxwell McKennon M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/08 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 06/08 | Sergio Callejon Hernando M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/08 | Daniel De Jonge M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 04/08 | Tristan McCormick M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/07 | Akira Santillan Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 16/07 | Dominik Palan Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rodrigo Fernandes vs Izan Almazan Valiente?
Our model gives 66% to Izan Almazan Valiente, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.