Tennis · Challenger Cancun · 20/08, 02:00
Prediction: Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves vs Moise Kouame
Team pages: Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves · Moise Kouame
Prediction summary
Winner
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Moise Kouame
Estimated games
24.7
Recent form · 10 last
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
8-2 (W-L)
Moise Kouame
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves 1663 · Moise Kouame 1428
| Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | Moise Kouame | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 79% | 21% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves (rating 1663 vs 1428).
- Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves is in better form: 100% recent wins.
- Note: Moise Kouame makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | Moise Kouame | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 25% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2-0.3 | 0.9-1.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 14-9.8 | 11.8-14.8 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 4.7 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 71.7% | 65.8% |
| Break % | 57.7% | 34.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Dali Blanch Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 17/08 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 08/08 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos M25 Londrina |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Maximo Zeitune M25 Londrina |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 06/08 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl M25 Londrina |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 05/08 | Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas M25 Londrina |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez M25 Londrina |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/07 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/07 | Lucas Andrade da Silva M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/07 | Matias Soto M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Moise Kouame
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Edward Winter ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Nuno Borges ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Batsomi Marobela Davis Cup |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 30/05 | Alejandro Tabilo French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 19-23 | L |
| 28/05 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo French Open · Clay |
3-2 | 25-26 | W |
| 26/05 | Marin Cilic French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 19-9 | W |
| 19/05 | Jacopo Vasami Challenger Cervia · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/05 | Benjamin Bonzi Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 20/04 | Patrick Kypson ATP Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves vs Moise Kouame?
Our model gives 57% to Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.