Tennis · Challenger Cancun · 20/08, 00:30
Prediction: Gauthier Onclin vs Timofey Skatov
Team pages: Gauthier Onclin · Timofey Skatov
Prediction summary
Winner
Gauthier Onclin
Timofey Skatov
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Gauthier Onclin
8-2 (W-L)
Timofey Skatov
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Gauthier Onclin
0–1
Timofey Skatov
(1 last)
- 26 May0-2 7-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gauthier Onclin 1523 · Timofey Skatov 1500
| Gauthier Onclin | Timofey Skatov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Gauthier Onclin 0–1 Timofey Skatov (1).
Statistics
| Gauthier Onclin | Timofey Skatov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.9-12.3 | 10.7-11.2 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 69.9% | 65% |
| Break % | 48.3% | 41.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
H2H · Gauthier Onclin 0 – 1 Timofey Skatov (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gauthier Onclin 0–1 Timofey Skatov
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05/25 Challenger Vicenza | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gauthier Onclin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 17/08 | Ryan Seggerman Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/08 | Andy Andrade Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Tyler Zink Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 25/07 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Tampere · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 24/07 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 22/07 | Niels Visker Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/07 | Duje Ajdukovic Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Thijs Boogaard Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 09/07 | Florian Broska Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
Timofey Skatov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Alex Barrena Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Otto Virtanen Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Thomas Faurel Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Andrey Rublev ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Jesper De Jong ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 19/07 | Pedro Martinez ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Joao Domingues ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 13/07 | Raphael Collignon ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 12/07 | Vitaliy Sachko ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gauthier Onclin vs Timofey Skatov?
Our model gives 63% to Gauthier Onclin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.