Tennis · Challenger Cancun · 20/08, 02:00
Prediction: Darwin Blanch vs Lloyd Harris
Team pages: Darwin Blanch · Lloyd Harris
Prediction summary
Winner
Darwin Blanch
Lloyd Harris
Estimated games
23.6
Recent form · 10 last
Darwin Blanch
2-8 (W-L)
Lloyd Harris
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Darwin Blanch 1446 · Lloyd Harris 1610
| Darwin Blanch | Lloyd Harris | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 72% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lloyd Harris (rating 1446 vs 1610).
- Lloyd Harris dominates on serve: 7.6 aces and 58.1% break avg.
- Lloyd Harris is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Darwin Blanch | Lloyd Harris | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (4) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.6 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-14 | 13.4-10.3 |
| Aces | 5.7 | 7.6 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 71.3% | 76.4% |
| Break % | 30.7% | 58.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Darwin Blanch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Coleman Wong ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Mark Lajal Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 15/07 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 10/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Garrett Johns Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 08/07 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 22/06 | Filip Cristian Jianu Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/06 | Zhizhen Zhang Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 13/06 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Lloyd Harris
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Laslo Djere Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/08 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/08 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/08 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 14/08 | Harry Wendelken Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 14/08 | Mees Rottgering Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/08 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/08 | Dusan Lajovic Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Henry Searle Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 23/07 | Alex Michelsen Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Darwin Blanch vs Lloyd Harris?
Our model gives 69% to Lloyd Harris, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.